We introduce the \emph{Topological Stability Index} (TSI), a variance-based scalar measure for persistence barcodes that quantifies the dispersion of persistence lifetimes. Unlike persistent entropy, which depends only on normalized weights, the TSI captures absolute variability and is sensitive to heterogeneous feature scales. We establish fundamental properties of the TSI, including its scaling behavior, invariance under lifetime translation and explicit update formulas under insertion and deletion of bars. We also consider a complementary first-moment-type quantity, the Topological Signal Index (TSigI), which captures the typical scale of persistence lifetimes and provides additional interpretability alongside the TSI. We further introduce a normalized version, $cv\text{TSI}$, which is scale invariant and admits an explicit algebraic relation to the Rényi entropy of order two. In particular, $cv\text{TSI}$ is an affine function of the collision probability $\sum_i p_i^2$, and therefore a monotone reparametrization of the Rényi entropy, providing a direct link between variance-based and entropy-based summaries in topological data analysis. Numerical experiments on synthetic data and stochastic time series demonstrate that the TSI captures structural variability complementary to entropy: it is relatively insensitive to deterministic trends, while responding strongly to stochastic fluctuations and variations in persistence magnitude.

Optimal transport is widely used to learn distributions, enforce distributional constraints, and model uncertainty. In applications, transport losses are often computed from samples through tractable representations, such as one-dimensional sorting formulas or sliced Wasserstein costs, making them practical components in training pipelines. We study parameterized objectives defined by sampled transport costs and prove graphical convergence of their subdifferentials to the subdifferential of the population objective. In particular, this ensures that standard subgradient methods consistently approach stationary points of the population-level problem. We illustrate the results in several settings, including risk-averse optimization, fairness-constrained learning, and sliced Wasserstein problems. Our analysis highlights that smooth parameterizations provide a favorable interface between statistical consistency and optimization. By contrast, transport objectives with nonsmooth costs and models may exhibit unstable derivatives in the large-sample limit.

Policy learning in modern operations environments faces a fundamental tension between limited operational data and the large, often continuous, state and action spaces over which good decisions must be identified and deployed. We study value-based policy learning in stochastic optimal control: a greedy policy induced by an estimate of the optimal action-value function $Q^*$ is deployed, and its performance is measured by regret. The empirical success of this approach calls for statistical insight into the structures that enable fast regret convergence. We show that, in continuous action spaces, fast policy learning is induced by three geometric structures: a growth exponent $p$, which quantifies how quickly $Q^*$ separates suboptimal actions from its maximizers; a margin-mass exponent $m$, which controls how much deployment mass lies on states with weak growth; and an action-wise regularity exponent $q$, which measures the smoothness of the $Q^*$-estimation error across actions. Given a $n^{-1/2}$-accurate estimator of $Q^*$, we show that the minimax-optimal policy regret convergence rate is \[ \widetildeΘ\left( n^{-\min\left\{\frac{p}{2(p-q)},\frac{m+1}{2m}\right\}} \right), \] up to a logarithmic factor at the boundary between the two regimes. The exponent $q$ is crucial: $q>0$ yields faster-than-$n^{-1/2}$ regret. This regime is natural in operations applications. In particular, we verify $q>0$ under mild regularity conditions in dynamic inventory control and service allocation examples, while the mechanism underlying this fast rate regime extends beyond these settings.

History-dependent sampling can reduce long-run Monte Carlo variance by discouraging redundant revisits, but existing schemes typically encode history through empirical measure on finite state spaces, which is infeasible in high-dimensional discrete configuration spaces or ill-posed in continuous domains. We propose Score-Repellent Monte Carlo (SRMC) framework that summarizes trajectory history by a running average of score evaluations in $\mathbb{R}^d$, where $d$ is the dimension of the score and state representation. This history is converted into a surrogate target through an exponential score tilt, indexed with $α$ that represents the strength of repellence in controlling the magnitude of the history-based repulsion. The surrogate family is normalization-free in the standard MCMC sense, yielding a generic wrapper: at each iteration, any base kernel targeting $π$ can instead be run on the current surrogate $π_{θ_n}$ while the history is updated online. We analyze the coupled evolution of the history recursion and Monte Carlo estimators using stochastic approximation with controlled Markovian noise, establishing almost sure convergence and a joint central limit theorem. We further identify regimes in which the asymptotic covariance decreases as $α$ increases, with scaling $O(1/α)$, extending the near-zero-variance effect of finite-state history-dependent samplers to general state spaces with constant memory. Experiments on continuous targets and discrete energy-based models demonstrate improved estimator variance and mode coverage, while retaining $O(d)$ memory usage and modest per-iteration overhead.

We study optimal experimental design for multinomial logit (MNL) bandits, where an agent repeatedly selects a subset of $K$ items from a ground set of size $N$ and observes single-choice feedback. Unlike linear or generalized linear bandits, MNL bandits have a combinatorial action space, which makes classical optimal design approaches and naive optimization over all subsets computationally intractable. We propose a computationally efficient optimal design framework for MNL models that achieves both statistical efficiency and scalability through two complementary approaches: (i) an exact or certified-approximate reformulation of the design oracle as a $0$-$1$ mixed-integer linear program (MILP) with solver-certified early stopping, and (ii) a fully polynomial-time lifted design that replaces the nonlinear objective with a tractable surrogate. Using the Kiefer-Wolfowitz equivalence theorem, we establish near G-optimality guarantees and characterize the induced statistical-computational trade-offs. As an application, we develop a best assortment identification algorithm for MNL bandits with linear utilities and non-uniform revenues, and prove an instance-dependent sample complexity of $\tilde{O}\big(\frac{d \log N}{Δ^2}\big)$, where $d$ is the feature dimension, $N$ is the number of arms, and $Δ$ is the minimum revenue gap.

Gradient-flow analyses show that simplified linear transformers can learn the in-context linear-regression algorithm, but they do not explain the finite-step behavior of gradient descent at large learning rates. Motivated by empirical work on high-learning-rate transformer instabilities and by the cubic-map phase diagram for quadratic regression, we study an exactly reducible one-prompt linear-transformer training problem. After normalization, the dynamics reduce to a two-factor product map with an effective step-size parameter \(μ\). On the balanced slice, this map recovers the known scalar cubic transition from monotone convergence to catapult convergence, periodic and chaotic bounded nonconvergence, and divergence. We then analyze the full two-dimensional system and show that, for \(0<μ<2\), it has an explicit invariant Chebyshev ellipse separating forward-invariant regions; this ellipse carries off-balanced chaotic dynamics but is transversely repelling, while balanced scalar attractors can be transversely attracting. These results show that large constant learning rates can change the training attractor of the learned transformer rather than merely accelerating convergence: beyond sharp stability thresholds, finite-step training may settle into cycles, bounded chaos, or divergence instead of a single in-context linear-regression solution. We also discuss the consequences for mini-batch gradient descent based training methods.

We investigate the global optimization of the objective function arising in continuous sparse regression, specifically the Beurling LASSO (BLASSO), over the space of measures. While Conic Particle Gradient Descent (CPGD) methods are computationally efficient, they may become trapped in local minima due to the non-convexity of the parameterization. To overcome this limitation, we introduce Fast Spawn\&Prune (FS\&P), a stochastic algorithm that extends FastPart introduced in De Castro et al. (2025) and combines CPGD with a birth-death process. The birth mechanism ensures asymptotic global exploration by introducing particles in regions where first-order optimality conditions are violated, while the death process preserves computational efficiency by pruning non-informative particles. We provide the first theoretical guarantee of global convergence for this class of discrete-time stochastic algorithms, without requiring exponentially large initializations. Furthermore, we derive explicit convergence rates for the excess risk, which scale as $\mathcal{O}\big(\left(\log K / K\right)^{\frac{1}{2(2+d)}}\big)$, where $K$ denotes the number of iterations and d the dimension of the domain, thereby quantifying the trade-off between global exploration and local refinement. Moreover, the sample complexity is $\mathcal{O}\big(N^{-\frac{1}{4(2+d)}}\big)$ (up to logarithmic factors). We also propose a horizon-free variant that does not require prior knowledge of the iteration budget.

Obtaining stable diffusion-based samplers in high- and infinite-dimensional settings is challenging because errors can accumulate across high-frequency coordinates and make the dynamics unstable under refinement of the finite-dimensional approximation of the underlying function-space problem. Discretization is a typical source of such errors, and preconditioning with a suitable spectral decay is one way to control their accumulation. In this paper, we study this problem for preconditioned annealed Langevin dynamics (ALD) applied to Gaussian mixtures. We first show that Euler-Maruyama (EM) discretization, by treating the stiff linear part of the annealed score with a forward Euler step, imposes a stability constraint coupling the preconditioner with the annealed covariance scale. Together with the conditions ensuring dimension-uniform control of the annealed dynamics, this constraint forces the initial smoothed law to remain uniformly close to the target across dimensions. We then consider an exponential-integrator scheme that integrates the stiff linear part of the annealed score exactly. Under explicit spectral summability conditions coupling the smoothing covariance, the component covariance spectra, and the preconditioner, we prove a dimension-uniform Kullback-Leibler (KL) bound for this scheme. This bound can be made arbitrarily small, uniformly in dimension, by allowing enough time for annealing and then refining the time mesh accordingly. Importantly, these conditions allow regimes in which the KL divergence between the target and the initial smoothed law diverges with dimension, showing that the restrictions imposed by EM are scheme-dependent rather than intrinsic to ALD.

This paper studies sampling error bounds for denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) in the 2-Wasserstein distance. Our contributions are threefold. (i) Under general Lipschitz-type conditions on the score function and for a broad class of variance schedules, including the cosine schedule, we establish sharp upper bounds that are optimal in both the dimension and the number of steps, and recover several sharp error bounds previously obtained in the literature. (ii) We prove that the same Lipschitz-type conditions, which encompass those commonly imposed on the (learned) score, imply a logarithmic Sobolev inequality and hence a quadratic transportation cost inequality for the DDPM. As a consequence, in settings covered by existing work, an optimal Wasserstein bound, up to a logarithmic factor, follows from the recently obtained sharp error bound in the Kullback-Leibler divergence under geometric-type variance schedules. (iii) We show that for general log-concave target distributions, the optimal Wasserstein error bound remains attainable even without a quadratic transportation cost inequality for the target. Our analysis is based on viewing the DDPM sampler as a discretization of the Föllmer process rather than the conventional reverse Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.

Chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning with self-consistency improves performance by aggregating multiple sampled reasoning paths. In this setting, correctness is no longer tied to a single reasoning trace but to the aggregation rule over a pool of candidate paths, making aggregation uncertainty the central challenge. This issue is critical where confidently incorrect answers are far more costly than abstentions. We introduce a conformal procedure for CoT reasoning that directly addresses aggregation uncertainty. Our approach replaces majority voting with weighted score aggregation over reasoning paths and calibrates an abstention rule using conformal risk control. This approach leads to finite-sample guarantees on the confident-error rate--the probability that the system answers and is wrong. We further identify score separability as the key condition under which abstention provably improves selective accuracy, and derive closed-form expressions that predict accuracy gains from calibration data alone. The method is fully inference-time, and requires no retraining. Across four benchmarks, four open-source models, and three score classes, realized confident-error rates are consistent with the prescribed targets up to calibration-split and test-set variability. Our method achieves $90.1\%$ selective accuracy on GSM8K by abstaining on less than $5\%$ of problems, compared with $82\%$ accuracy under majority-voting baseline.